NOVITA (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17028. 26 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3202.80843 / (1 + e^(-0.13581(t - 31.97581))) | 3202.80843 | 0.13581 | 31.97581 | 0.99527 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2509.26761 / (1 + e^(-0.13321(t - 31.28760))) | 2509.26761 | 0.13321 | 31.28760 | 0.99467 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 583.24856 / (1 + e^(-0.15372(t - 34.81580))) | 583.24856 | 0.15372 | 34.81580 | 0.99579 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 36.00135 / (1 + e^(-0.14743(t - 32.86658))) | 36.00135 | 0.14743 | 32.86658 | 0.99491 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 57.94313 / (1 + e^(-0.16222(t - 31.35053))) | 57.94313 | 0.16222 | 31.35053 | 0.99443 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 15.97447 / (1 + e^(-0.23707(t - 30.10606))) | 15.97447 | 0.23707 | 30.10606 | 0.98414 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3128.89690 / (1 + e^(-0.13514(t - 31.99682))) | 3128.89690 | 0.13514 | 31.99682 | 0.99524 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.98305 / (1 + e^(-0.12110(t - 29.50920))) | 25.98305 | 0.12110 | 29.50920 | 0.99523 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 5.7% | 184 | 162 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 10.7% | 342 | 288 | 44 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 336 | 6 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 27.5% | 879 | 773 | 87 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 867 | 10 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 49.7% | 1,590 | 1,310 | 223 | 17 | 30 | 10 | 1,550 | 14 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 50.7% | 1,622 | 1,341 | 223 | 17 | 31 | 10 | 1,581 | 16 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.7% | 2,201 | 1,743 | 374 | 25 | 45 | 14 | 2,142 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 86.4% | 2,766 | 2,170 | 498 | 31 | 53 | 14 | 2,699 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.4% | 2,928 | 2,293 | 532 | 33 | 54 | 16 | 2,858 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 93.2% | 2,985 | 2,341 | 540 | 34 | 54 | 16 | 2,915 | 24 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.2% | 3,145 | 2,469 | 569 | 35 | 56 | 16 | 3,073 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 2,509 | 583 | 36 | 58 | 16 | 3,128 | 26 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex