MEDIO SAN JUAN (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17027. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4325.55136 / (1 + e^(-0.09432(t - 46.16159))) | 4325.55136 | 0.09432 | 46.16159 | 0.99816 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3860.55325 / (1 + e^(-0.09653(t - 46.41271))) | 3860.55325 | 0.09653 | 46.41271 | 0.99809 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 362.08371 / (1 + e^(-0.07422(t - 43.00327))) | 362.08371 | 0.07422 | 43.00327 | 0.99270 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 36.00503 / (1 + e^(-0.09233(t - 53.83675))) | 36.00503 | 0.09233 | 53.83675 | 0.99318 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 53.88755 / (1 + e^(-0.15437(t - 44.12983))) | 53.88755 | 0.15437 | 44.12983 | 0.99159 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 12.99498 / (1 + e^(-0.14053(t - 43.14583))) | 12.99498 | 0.14053 | 43.14583 | 0.99068 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4258.66351 / (1 + e^(-0.09388(t - 46.20219))) | 4258.66351 | 0.09388 | 46.20219 | 0.99810 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.03266 / (1 + e^(-0.08722(t - 41.74263))) | 29.03266 | 0.08722 | 41.74263 | 0.99855 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.3% | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.6% | 67 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 4.0% | 172 | 128 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 167 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 10.2% | 439 | 371 | 61 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 433 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.9% | 861 | 756 | 95 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 853 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 28.3% | 1,224 | 1,053 | 157 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1,213 | 11 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 31.9% | 1,376 | 1,189 | 165 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 1,360 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 44.8% | 1,937 | 1,687 | 203 | 11 | 29 | 7 | 1,901 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 58.0% | 2,506 | 2,215 | 226 | 17 | 41 | 7 | 2,458 | 19 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 65.3% | 2,820 | 2,503 | 242 | 18 | 45 | 12 | 2,763 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 78.1% | 3,376 | 3,021 | 271 | 25 | 47 | 12 | 3,317 | 24 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 82.8% | 3,577 | 3,206 | 285 | 26 | 48 | 12 | 3,517 | 25 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 86.2% | 3,725 | 3,342 | 297 | 26 | 48 | 12 | 3,665 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 96.6% | 4,171 | 3,756 | 319 | 29 | 54 | 13 | 4,104 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 96.6% | 4,171 | 3,756 | 319 | 29 | 54 | 13 | 4,104 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,320 | 3,855 | 362 | 36 | 54 | 13 | 4,253 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex