NUEVO BELEN DE BAJIRA (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17082. 41 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6727.19428 / (1 + e^(-0.15264(t - 44.44777))) | 6727.19428 | 0.15264 | 44.44777 | 0.99782 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4573.68987 / (1 + e^(-0.14994(t - 44.71773))) | 4573.68987 | 0.14994 | 44.71773 | 0.99818 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2006.25025 / (1 + e^(-0.16217(t - 43.79708))) | 2006.25025 | 0.16217 | 43.79708 | 0.99675 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 60.79764 / (1 + e^(-0.12916(t - 44.41112))) | 60.79764 | 0.12916 | 44.41112 | 0.98952 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 78.62585 / (1 + e^(-0.12790(t - 46.25426))) | 78.62585 | 0.12790 | 46.25426 | 0.99121 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.95051 / (1 + e^(-0.13994(t - 45.42178))) | 7.95051 | 0.13994 | 45.42178 | 0.97321 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6640.71704 / (1 + e^(-0.15293(t - 44.42913))) | 6640.71704 | 0.15293 | 44.42913 | 0.99787 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 40.89612 / (1 + e^(-0.14131(t - 43.59983))) | 40.89612 | 0.14131 | 43.59983 | 0.99733 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.3% | 427 | 287 | 135 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 426 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.7% | 1,126 | 729 | 374 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 1,112 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 27.6% | 1,861 | 1,286 | 536 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1,842 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 52.8% | 3,559 | 2,389 | 1,085 | 37 | 43 | 5 | 3,511 | 23 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 70.1% | 4,729 | 3,103 | 1,528 | 43 | 49 | 6 | 4,674 | 29 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 77.7% | 5,241 | 3,528 | 1,605 | 45 | 57 | 6 | 5,178 | 32 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 88.2% | 5,946 | 4,029 | 1,796 | 50 | 65 | 6 | 5,875 | 36 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 91.6% | 6,176 | 4,225 | 1,827 | 50 | 68 | 6 | 6,102 | 37 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 91.6% | 6,176 | 4,225 | 1,827 | 50 | 68 | 6 | 6,102 | 37 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.3% | 6,561 | 4,440 | 1,982 | 61 | 70 | 8 | 6,483 | 40 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 97.3% | 6,561 | 4,440 | 1,982 | 61 | 70 | 8 | 6,483 | 40 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,744 | 4,584 | 2,012 | 61 | 79 | 8 | 6,657 | 41 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex