MEDIO BAUDO (PUERTO MELUK) (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17026. 37 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4635.06466 / (1 + e^(-0.12613(t - 32.74052))) | 4635.06466 | 0.12613 | 32.74052 | 0.99473 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4336.48010 / (1 + e^(-0.12542(t - 32.61394))) | 4336.48010 | 0.12542 | 32.61394 | 0.99470 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 264.50898 / (1 + e^(-0.14334(t - 35.17841))) | 264.50898 | 0.14334 | 35.17841 | 0.99320 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 15.03425 / (1 + e^(-0.10921(t - 32.32672))) | 15.03425 | 0.10921 | 32.32672 | 0.97665 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 13.98483 / (1 + e^(-0.15628(t - 27.40615))) | 13.98483 | 0.15628 | 27.40615 | 0.97380 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.98984 / (1 + e^(-0.22304(t - 25.40831))) | 4.98984 | 0.22304 | 25.40831 | 0.98735 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4616.07499 / (1 + e^(-0.12609(t - 32.76526))) | 4616.07499 | 0.12609 | 32.76526 | 0.99476 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 37.02851 / (1 + e^(-0.12716(t - 32.06126))) | 37.02851 | 0.12716 | 32.06126 | 0.99500 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 6.0% | 280 | 275 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 3 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 12.6% | 585 | 560 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 583 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 29.1% | 1,349 | 1,280 | 53 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1,339 | 11 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 46.6% | 2,157 | 2,041 | 95 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 2,144 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 48.6% | 2,253 | 2,118 | 114 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 2,240 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 63.9% | 2,962 | 2,782 | 157 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 2,947 | 24 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.8% | 3,652 | 3,442 | 183 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 3,635 | 30 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 94.8% | 4,390 | 4,096 | 261 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 4,371 | 35 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.8% | 4,440 | 4,144 | 262 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,421 | 36 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.8% | 4,440 | 4,144 | 262 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,421 | 36 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.8% | 4,440 | 4,144 | 262 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,421 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,633 | 4,335 | 264 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4,614 | 37 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex