MEDIO ATRATO (BETE) (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17012. 26 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3729.72415 / (1 + e^(-0.10075(t - 45.69440))) | 3729.72415 | 0.10075 | 45.69440 | 0.99330 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3323.91655 / (1 + e^(-0.10264(t - 45.40751))) | 3323.91655 | 0.10264 | 45.40751 | 0.99284 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 354.23850 / (1 + e^(-0.09300(t - 47.75850))) | 354.23850 | 0.09300 | 47.75850 | 0.99399 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 12.93987 / (1 + e^(-0.07394(t - 47.90998))) | 12.93987 | 0.07394 | 47.90998 | 0.98387 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 37.90937 / (1 + e^(-0.06467(t - 54.66644))) | 37.90937 | 0.06467 | 54.66644 | 0.97908 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.64773(t - 26.49971))) | 1.00000 | 9.64773 | 26.49971 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3691.17319 / (1 + e^(-0.10121(t - 45.63628))) | 3691.17319 | 0.10121 | 45.63628 | 0.99335 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.91655 / (1 + e^(-0.10052(t - 44.13102))) | 25.91655 | 0.10052 | 44.13102 | 0.99366 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.2% | 157 | 145 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 14.1% | 529 | 480 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 526 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.2% | 867 | 758 | 97 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 860 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 38.8% | 1,451 | 1,312 | 120 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 1,437 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 51.2% | 1,918 | 1,721 | 173 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 1,900 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 51.2% | 1,918 | 1,721 | 173 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 1,900 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 78.3% | 2,929 | 2,656 | 242 | 9 | 21 | 1 | 2,907 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 78.3% | 2,929 | 2,656 | 242 | 9 | 21 | 1 | 2,907 | 21 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 83.0% | 3,105 | 2,801 | 266 | 10 | 27 | 1 | 3,077 | 22 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 86.3% | 3,232 | 2,875 | 316 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 3,202 | 23 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 86.3% | 3,232 | 2,875 | 316 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 3,202 | 23 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 95.7% | 3,582 | 3,190 | 351 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 3,552 | 25 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 95.7% | 3,582 | 3,190 | 351 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 3,552 | 25 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 95.7% | 3,582 | 3,190 | 351 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 3,552 | 25 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 95.7% | 3,582 | 3,190 | 351 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 3,552 | 25 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,743 | 3,337 | 354 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3,704 | 26 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex