JURADO (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17022. 13 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1725.36004 / (1 + e^(-0.15369(t - 42.58555))) | 1725.36004 | 0.15369 | 42.58555 | 0.99459 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1517.01629 / (1 + e^(-0.15455(t - 42.57895))) | 1517.01629 | 0.15455 | 42.57895 | 0.99442 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 188.24528 / (1 + e^(-0.14901(t - 41.84456))) | 188.24528 | 0.14901 | 41.84456 | 0.99316 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 11.01372 / (1 + e^(-0.31775(t - 49.91036))) | 11.01372 | 0.31775 | 49.91036 | 0.99713 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.00981 / (1 + e^(-0.33636(t - 48.75330))) | 5.00981 | 0.33636 | 48.75330 | 0.98560 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.01375 / (1 + e^(-0.21036(t - 53.39436))) | 4.01375 | 0.21036 | 53.39436 | 0.96502 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1716.32369 / (1 + e^(-0.15383(t - 42.54967))) | 1716.32369 | 0.15383 | 42.54967 | 0.99461 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 13.01631 / (1 + e^(-0.14231(t - 39.46754))) | 13.01631 | 0.14231 | 39.46754 | 0.99444 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.7% | 98 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.4% | 127 | 120 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 127 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 24.7% | 426 | 362 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 424 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 43.2% | 744 | 651 | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 742 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 52.5% | 904 | 799 | 101 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 902 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 61.3% | 1,055 | 922 | 126 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1,052 | 9 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.2% | 1,570 | 1,397 | 158 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1,564 | 12 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,722 | 1,514 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1,713 | 13 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex