EL CANTON DEL SAN PABLO (MAN. (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17017. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 3105.60439 / (1 + e^(-0.16058(t - 38.11873))) | 3105.60439 | 0.16058 | 38.11873 | 0.99607 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2435.48323 / (1 + e^(-0.15441(t - 38.61201))) | 2435.48323 | 0.15441 | 38.61201 | 0.99640 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 621.25434 / (1 + e^(-0.19267(t - 36.47183))) | 621.25434 | 0.19267 | 36.47183 | 0.99497 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 20.96327 / (1 + e^(-0.19315(t - 36.48050))) | 20.96327 | 0.19315 | 36.48050 | 0.98979 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 25.92647 / (1 + e^(-0.29460(t - 35.06417))) | 25.92647 | 0.29460 | 35.06417 | 0.99371 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.16551(t - 34.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.16551 | 34.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3077.68832 / (1 + e^(-0.16006(t - 38.15062))) | 3077.68832 | 0.16006 | 38.15062 | 0.99610 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 18.99689 / (1 + e^(-0.15310(t - 37.41868))) | 18.99689 | 0.15310 | 37.41868 | 0.99541 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.8% | 118 | 107 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.9% | 493 | 393 | 96 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 491 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.3% | 1,190 | 906 | 261 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1,177 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 61.0% | 1,896 | 1,418 | 440 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 1,873 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 67.7% | 2,102 | 1,612 | 452 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 2,079 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 79.3% | 2,463 | 1,888 | 533 | 17 | 23 | 2 | 2,438 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.7% | 2,786 | 2,151 | 587 | 20 | 26 | 2 | 2,758 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,106 | 2,435 | 622 | 21 | 26 | 2 | 3,078 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex