BAHIA SOLANO (MUTIS) (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17008. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4850.66059 / (1 + e^(-0.11195(t - 53.72945))) | 4850.66059 | 0.11195 | 53.72945 | 0.99621 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3850.49129 / (1 + e^(-0.11152(t - 53.57784))) | 3850.49129 | 0.11152 | 53.57784 | 0.99594 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 928.06358 / (1 + e^(-0.11278(t - 54.24935))) | 928.06358 | 0.11278 | 54.24935 | 0.99626 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 28.06784 / (1 + e^(-0.13944(t - 57.64920))) | 28.06784 | 0.13944 | 57.64920 | 0.99242 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 37.95902 / (1 + e^(-0.14024(t - 53.74949))) | 37.95902 | 0.14024 | 53.74949 | 0.99718 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.01829 / (1 + e^(-0.13716(t - 52.39541))) | 6.01829 | 0.13716 | 52.39541 | 0.98195 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4806.71322 / (1 + e^(-0.11173(t - 53.73243))) | 4806.71322 | 0.11173 | 53.73243 | 0.99620 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.84495 / (1 + e^(-0.10310(t - 52.25844))) | 28.84495 | 0.10310 | 52.25844 | 0.99459 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.2% | 56 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 5.6% | 271 | 175 | 94 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 16.3% | 794 | 621 | 165 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 788 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 28.9% | 1,405 | 1,142 | 246 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1,394 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 41.9% | 2,037 | 1,670 | 343 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 2,021 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 46.4% | 2,258 | 1,826 | 405 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 2,239 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 68.0% | 3,304 | 2,628 | 627 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 3,271 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 68.0% | 3,304 | 2,628 | 627 | 16 | 28 | 5 | 3,271 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 90.9% | 4,419 | 3,494 | 856 | 27 | 36 | 6 | 4,377 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 90.9% | 4,419 | 3,494 | 856 | 27 | 36 | 6 | 4,377 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 90.9% | 4,419 | 3,494 | 856 | 27 | 36 | 6 | 4,377 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 94.7% | 4,606 | 3,657 | 878 | 28 | 37 | 6 | 4,563 | 27 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 94.7% | 4,606 | 3,657 | 878 | 28 | 37 | 6 | 4,563 | 27 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 94.7% | 4,606 | 3,657 | 878 | 28 | 37 | 6 | 4,563 | 27 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 99.3% | 4,826 | 3,834 | 920 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,782 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 99.3% | 4,826 | 3,834 | 920 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,782 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 99.3% | 4,826 | 3,834 | 920 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,782 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 99.3% | 4,826 | 3,834 | 920 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,782 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,862 | 3,860 | 930 | 28 | 38 | 6 | 4,818 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex