BAJO BAUDO (PIZARRO) (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17010. 45 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5047.48163 / (1 + e^(-0.08925(t - 60.98547))) | 5047.48163 | 0.08925 | 60.98547 | 0.98828 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4509.46489 / (1 + e^(-0.08833(t - 61.21842))) | 4509.46489 | 0.08833 | 61.21842 | 0.98787 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 477.03006 / (1 + e^(-0.09890(t - 58.20936))) | 477.03006 | 0.09890 | 58.20936 | 0.99049 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 22.04646 / (1 + e^(-0.09980(t - 63.69399))) | 22.04646 | 0.09980 | 63.69399 | 0.98832 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 30.05223 / (1 + e^(-0.10880(t - 68.94525))) | 30.05223 | 0.10880 | 68.94525 | 0.97930 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.02289 / (1 + e^(-0.29793(t - 68.88780))) | 9.02289 | 0.29793 | 68.88780 | 0.98094 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5008.32820 / (1 + e^(-0.08918(t - 60.92464))) | 5008.32820 | 0.08918 | 60.92464 | 0.98834 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 45.20659 / (1 + e^(-0.07842(t - 56.20449))) | 45.20659 | 0.07842 | 56.20449 | 0.98585 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.3% | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.2% | 310 | 290 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 307 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 12.6% | 633 | 594 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 630 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 22.2% | 1,116 | 990 | 118 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1,112 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 26.4% | 1,327 | 1,182 | 133 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1,320 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 26.4% | 1,327 | 1,182 | 133 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1,320 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 35.1% | 1,765 | 1,557 | 195 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1,757 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 40.6% | 2,039 | 1,810 | 213 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2,031 | 22 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 45.4% | 2,283 | 2,011 | 253 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2,273 | 24 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 53.2% | 2,675 | 2,329 | 324 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2,664 | 27 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 90.4% | 4,545 | 4,045 | 446 | 20 | 25 | 9 | 4,511 | 42 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 92.9% | 4,671 | 4,147 | 469 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 4,636 | 43 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 92.9% | 4,671 | 4,147 | 469 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 4,636 | 43 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 96.3% | 4,839 | 4,310 | 474 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 4,804 | 44 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 96.3% | 4,839 | 4,310 | 474 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 4,804 | 44 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,027 | 4,491 | 475 | 22 | 30 | 9 | 4,988 | 45 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex