BAGADO (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17007. 30 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3918.70291 / (1 + e^(-0.09445(t - 42.23063))) | 3918.70291 | 0.09445 | 42.23063 | 0.99037 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3468.90451 / (1 + e^(-0.09063(t - 42.92787))) | 3468.90451 | 0.09063 | 42.92787 | 0.98908 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 422.87329 / (1 + e^(-0.15399(t - 38.01616))) | 422.87329 | 0.15399 | 38.01616 | 0.99558 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 10.99215 / (1 + e^(-0.11683(t - 36.32972))) | 10.99215 | 0.11683 | 36.32972 | 0.98128 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12.98185 / (1 + e^(-0.27173(t - 40.70834))) | 12.98185 | 0.27173 | 40.70834 | 0.99494 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.00912 / (1 + e^(-0.18324(t - 34.69393))) | 4.00912 | 0.18324 | 34.69393 | 0.98306 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3901.76603 / (1 + e^(-0.09425(t - 42.25040))) | 3901.76603 | 0.09425 | 42.25040 | 0.99031 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 29.99686 / (1 + e^(-0.10860(t - 38.67760))) | 29.99686 | 0.10860 | 38.67760 | 0.99283 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.9% | 154 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 14.1% | 553 | 516 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 552 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 29.3% | 1,148 | 1,030 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1,145 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.3% | 1,343 | 1,174 | 160 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1,339 | 12 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 41.1% | 1,609 | 1,407 | 191 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1,603 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.6% | 2,371 | 2,023 | 325 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 2,357 | 21 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 67.2% | 2,627 | 2,235 | 367 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 2,611 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 69.3% | 2,711 | 2,305 | 381 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 2,695 | 24 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 69.3% | 2,711 | 2,305 | 381 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 2,695 | 24 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 89.9% | 3,518 | 3,067 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,501 | 28 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,912 | 3,461 | 423 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 3,895 | 30 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex