GUATAVITA (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15124. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4412.61336 / (1 + e^(-0.36118(t - 44.12282))) | 4412.61336 | 0.36118 | 44.12282 | 0.99790 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1231.56525 / (1 + e^(-0.34894(t - 44.08155))) | 1231.56525 | 0.34894 | 44.08155 | 0.99725 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3032.44505 / (1 + e^(-0.37330(t - 44.10900))) | 3032.44505 | 0.37330 | 44.10900 | 0.99821 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 95.82927 / (1 + e^(-0.28702(t - 44.87334))) | 95.82927 | 0.28702 | 44.87334 | 0.99700 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 45.98004 / (1 + e^(-0.19825(t - 46.13249))) | 45.98004 | 0.19825 | 46.13249 | 0.99451 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.99292 / (1 + e^(-0.27609(t - 42.99147))) | 6.99292 | 0.27609 | 42.99147 | 0.99737 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4359.76383 / (1 + e^(-0.36416(t - 44.11299))) | 4359.76383 | 0.36416 | 44.11299 | 0.99795 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.96358 / (1 + e^(-0.35897(t - 44.08577))) | 15.96358 | 0.35897 | 44.08577 | 0.99799 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 11.8% | 522 | 147 | 354 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 513 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 49.9% | 2,209 | 632 | 1,507 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 2,183 | 8 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.2% | 3,859 | 1,067 | 2,676 | 78 | 32 | 6 | 3,821 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 87.2% | 3,859 | 1,067 | 2,676 | 78 | 32 | 6 | 3,821 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 93.7% | 4,145 | 1,131 | 2,874 | 91 | 42 | 7 | 4,096 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,423 | 1,235 | 3,039 | 96 | 46 | 7 | 4,370 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex