GUATAQUI (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15121. 8 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1618.61441 / (1 + e^(-0.21886(t - 41.06804))) | 1618.61441 | 0.21886 | 41.06804 | 0.99732 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 638.45494 / (1 + e^(-0.22719(t - 40.41014))) | 638.45494 | 0.22719 | 40.41014 | 0.99732 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 963.14078 / (1 + e^(-0.21542(t - 41.56285))) | 963.14078 | 0.21542 | 41.56285 | 0.99726 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 9.99568 / (1 + e^(-0.25202(t - 36.84352))) | 9.99568 | 0.25202 | 36.84352 | 0.99074 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 6.00324 / (1 + e^(-0.20308(t - 39.53157))) | 6.00324 | 0.20308 | 39.53157 | 0.99529 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-10.33482(t - 41.50502))) | 1.00000 | 10.33482 | 41.50502 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1611.61064 / (1 + e^(-0.21884(t - 41.07311))) | 1611.61064 | 0.21884 | 41.07311 | 0.99731 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 8.00574 / (1 + e^(-0.21750(t - 40.08253))) | 8.00574 | 0.21750 | 40.08253 | 0.99655 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 21.0% | 339 | 133 | 200 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 337 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 43.9% | 710 | 307 | 393 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 707 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 58.9% | 952 | 398 | 542 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 947 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.0% | 1,374 | 561 | 797 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1,368 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,617 | 638 | 962 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1,610 | 8 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex