GUAYABAL DE SIQUIMA (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15127. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3316.49916 / (1 + e^(-0.33168(t - 42.63155))) | 3316.49916 | 0.33168 | 42.63155 | 0.99827 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 998.77099 / (1 + e^(-0.32218(t - 42.29875))) | 998.77099 | 0.32218 | 42.29875 | 0.99850 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2225.64166 / (1 + e^(-0.33760(t - 42.79410))) | 2225.64166 | 0.33760 | 42.79410 | 0.99819 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 59.02384 / (1 + e^(-0.34461(t - 42.06268))) | 59.02384 | 0.34461 | 42.06268 | 0.99811 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 26.03460 / (1 + e^(-0.26358(t - 42.53004))) | 26.03460 | 0.26358 | 42.53004 | 0.99582 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00759 / (1 + e^(-0.42800(t - 43.06005))) | 7.00759 | 0.42800 | 43.06005 | 0.99364 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3283.45996 / (1 + e^(-0.33214(t - 42.63107))) | 3283.45996 | 0.33214 | 42.63107 | 0.99829 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.01455 / (1 + e^(-0.29692(t - 41.67576))) | 15.01455 | 0.29692 | 41.67576 | 0.99715 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.7% | 323 | 96 | 216 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 318 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 9.7% | 323 | 96 | 216 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 318 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 21.0% | 697 | 238 | 439 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 690 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.1% | 1,993 | 622 | 1,312 | 40 | 15 | 4 | 1,974 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.9% | 3,046 | 923 | 2,039 | 54 | 23 | 7 | 3,016 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,314 | 998 | 2,224 | 59 | 26 | 7 | 3,281 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex