GUARNE (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01142. 135 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 33539.24555 / (1 + e^(-0.19245(t - 40.94469))) | 33539.24555 | 0.19245 | 40.94469 | 0.99957 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 8829.20285 / (1 + e^(-0.18556(t - 40.54842))) | 8829.20285 | 0.18556 | 40.54842 | 0.99949 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 23511.12794 / (1 + e^(-0.19594(t - 41.11879))) | 23511.12794 | 0.19594 | 41.11879 | 0.99949 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 779.67585 / (1 + e^(-0.18485(t - 40.09868))) | 779.67585 | 0.18485 | 40.09868 | 0.99958 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 372.94444 / (1 + e^(-0.18697(t - 41.03077))) | 372.94444 | 0.18697 | 41.03077 | 0.99979 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 46.05101 / (1 + e^(-0.19900(t - 41.79789))) | 46.05101 | 0.19900 | 41.79789 | 0.99847 |
| Validos | y(t) = 33120.25582 / (1 + e^(-0.19250(t - 40.94260))) | 33120.25582 | 0.19250 | 40.94260 | 0.99956 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 135.01739 / (1 + e^(-0.18558(t - 40.01916))) | 135.01739 | 0.18558 | 40.01916 | 0.99956 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.6% | 186 | 92 | 89 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.8% | 606 | 193 | 380 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 592 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.6% | 3,228 | 775 | 2,326 | 87 | 35 | 5 | 3,188 | 16 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.2% | 7,779 | 2,233 | 5,250 | 206 | 81 | 9 | 7,689 | 37 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 39.8% | 13,349 | 3,809 | 9,024 | 347 | 152 | 17 | 13,180 | 59 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 62.1% | 20,823 | 5,633 | 14,414 | 518 | 233 | 25 | 20,565 | 89 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.3% | 28,613 | 7,485 | 20,110 | 667 | 312 | 39 | 28,262 | 117 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 92.7% | 31,076 | 8,105 | 21,870 | 718 | 339 | 44 | 30,693 | 126 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.0% | 32,189 | 8,354 | 22,698 | 739 | 353 | 45 | 31,791 | 130 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.3% | 32,980 | 8,592 | 23,212 | 762 | 368 | 46 | 32,566 | 133 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 33,537 | 8,833 | 23,505 | 780 | 373 | 46 | 33,118 | 135 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex