GUADALUPE (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01140. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3730.73093 / (1 + e^(-0.26675(t - 41.59668))) | 3730.73093 | 0.26675 | 41.59668 | 0.99283 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1794.51962 / (1 + e^(-0.30936(t - 41.78435))) | 1794.51962 | 0.30936 | 41.78435 | 0.99332 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1674.85038 / (1 + e^(-0.24071(t - 41.20914))) | 1674.85038 | 0.24071 | 41.20914 | 0.99232 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 145.66227 / (1 + e^(-0.28043(t - 42.44850))) | 145.66227 | 0.28043 | 42.44850 | 0.99244 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 76.71447 / (1 + e^(-0.27368(t - 42.14298))) | 76.71447 | 0.27368 | 42.14298 | 0.99166 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 38.88934 / (1 + e^(-0.13959(t - 45.74076))) | 38.88934 | 0.13959 | 45.74076 | 0.98583 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3615.31025 / (1 + e^(-0.26883(t - 41.55713))) | 3615.31025 | 0.26883 | 41.55713 | 0.99295 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 18.91892 / (1 + e^(-0.24999(t - 40.89950))) | 18.91892 | 0.24999 | 40.89950 | 0.99383 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.2% | 46 | 21 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 12.6% | 473 | 203 | 243 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 461 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 26.2% | 982 | 401 | 531 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 959 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 76.4% | 2,863 | 1,362 | 1,312 | 106 | 58 | 25 | 2,780 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.7% | 3,102 | 1,525 | 1,371 | 118 | 62 | 26 | 3,014 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 82.7% | 3,102 | 1,525 | 1,371 | 118 | 62 | 26 | 3,014 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.4% | 3,539 | 1,701 | 1,584 | 146 | 75 | 33 | 3,431 | 18 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 94.4% | 3,539 | 1,701 | 1,584 | 146 | 75 | 33 | 3,431 | 18 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 94.4% | 3,539 | 1,701 | 1,584 | 146 | 75 | 33 | 3,431 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,749 | 1,804 | 1,683 | 146 | 77 | 39 | 3,633 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex