GUATAPE (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01145. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6142.06892 / (1 + e^(-0.26324(t - 44.64431))) | 6142.06892 | 0.26324 | 44.64431 | 0.99903 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1147.56998 / (1 + e^(-0.26981(t - 44.80648))) | 1147.56998 | 0.26981 | 44.80648 | 0.99702 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4819.46384 / (1 + e^(-0.26019(t - 44.63048))) | 4819.46384 | 0.26019 | 44.63048 | 0.99929 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 118.96959 / (1 + e^(-0.33804(t - 43.22383))) | 118.96959 | 0.33804 | 43.22383 | 0.99688 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 45.05271 / (1 + e^(-0.28134(t - 45.26833))) | 45.05271 | 0.28134 | 45.26833 | 0.99844 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.00829 / (1 + e^(-0.35021(t - 45.75319))) | 11.00829 | 0.35021 | 45.75319 | 0.99941 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6086.00560 / (1 + e^(-0.26302(t - 44.63751))) | 6086.00560 | 0.26302 | 44.63751 | 0.99903 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 24.01515 / (1 + e^(-0.26442(t - 44.61217))) | 24.01515 | 0.26442 | 44.61217 | 0.99890 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.5% | 275 | 26 | 240 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 4.5% | 275 | 26 | 240 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 16.9% | 1,036 | 145 | 868 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1,028 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 49.3% | 3,024 | 609 | 2,316 | 76 | 19 | 4 | 3,001 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 71.0% | 4,361 | 765 | 3,463 | 94 | 31 | 8 | 4,322 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.6% | 5,869 | 1,107 | 4,587 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 5,813 | 23 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,138 | 1,147 | 4,816 | 119 | 45 | 11 | 6,082 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex