VENEZUELA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88815. 349 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 24686.71073 / (1 + e^(-0.28144(t - 39.76901))) | 24686.71073 | 0.28144 | 39.76901 | 0.99616 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4891.20537 / (1 + e^(-0.32432(t - 40.46256))) | 4891.20537 | 0.32432 | 40.46256 | 0.99539 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 19601.72575 / (1 + e^(-0.27542(t - 39.57725))) | 19601.72575 | 0.27542 | 39.57725 | 0.99634 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 109.35310 / (1 + e^(-0.24919(t - 40.75095))) | 109.35310 | 0.24919 | 40.75095 | 0.99514 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 51.65802 / (1 + e^(-0.27968(t - 41.06869))) | 51.65802 | 0.27968 | 41.06869 | 0.99388 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 31.99579 / (1 + e^(-0.13739(t - 43.38209))) | 31.99579 | 0.13739 | 43.38209 | 0.99715 |
| Validos | y(t) = 24603.20611 / (1 + e^(-0.28185(t - 39.76407))) | 24603.20611 | 0.28185 | 39.76407 | 0.99616 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 345.44671 / (1 + e^(-0.16563(t - 43.96438))) | 345.44671 | 0.16563 | 43.96438 | 0.97882 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.9% | 224 | 81 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 224 | 81 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.2% | 1,047 | 181 | 861 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1,045 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.1% | 1,763 | 281 | 1,473 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1,758 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.0% | 4,463 | 750 | 3,683 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 4,449 | 31 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 38.6% | 9,565 | 1,539 | 7,960 | 39 | 16 | 11 | 9,538 | 62 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 84.3% | 20,900 | 4,103 | 16,653 | 85 | 40 | 19 | 20,841 | 245 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.5% | 22,187 | 4,382 | 17,646 | 93 | 45 | 21 | 22,121 | 260 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.2% | 22,615 | 4,467 | 17,984 | 95 | 45 | 24 | 22,546 | 268 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.8% | 23,487 | 4,662 | 18,646 | 102 | 48 | 29 | 23,410 | 285 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.0% | 23,790 | 4,747 | 18,860 | 104 | 48 | 31 | 23,711 | 289 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 96.0% | 23,797 | 4,748 | 18,866 | 104 | 48 | 31 | 23,718 | 292 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.4% | 24,133 | 4,805 | 19,141 | 106 | 50 | 31 | 24,052 | 310 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 98.9% | 24,507 | 4,873 | 19,443 | 108 | 51 | 32 | 24,424 | 322 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.4% | 24,649 | 4,890 | 19,567 | 108 | 52 | 32 | 24,565 | 334 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.8% | 24,747 | 4,900 | 19,654 | 109 | 52 | 32 | 24,663 | 347 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 24,787 | 4,911 | 19,682 | 110 | 52 | 32 | 24,703 | 349 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex