ALEMANIA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88120. 54 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 12178.70661 / (1 + e^(-0.31707(t - 35.84136))) | 12178.70661 | 0.31707 | 35.84136 | 0.99811 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 7909.50043 / (1 + e^(-0.31269(t - 35.97867))) | 7909.50043 | 0.31269 | 35.97867 | 0.99767 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3960.78059 / (1 + e^(-0.32901(t - 35.54841))) | 3960.78059 | 0.32901 | 35.54841 | 0.99884 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 290.39861 / (1 + e^(-0.29336(t - 36.08066))) | 290.39861 | 0.29336 | 36.08066 | 0.99704 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 18.00057 / (1 + e^(-0.83219(t - 36.50020))) | 18.00057 | 0.83219 | 36.50020 | 1.00000 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 12160.71039 / (1 + e^(-0.31670(t - 35.83936))) | 12160.71039 | 0.31670 | 35.83936 | 0.99810 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 54.06489 / (1 + e^(-0.31875(t - 36.45825))) | 54.06489 | 0.31875 | 36.45825 | 0.99771 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.7% | 205 | 161 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.9% | 473 | 338 | 124 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 473 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.6% | 565 | 407 | 142 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 565 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 14.9% | 1,815 | 1,215 | 551 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1,815 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 33.3% | 4,046 | 2,540 | 1,410 | 94 | 2 | 0 | 4,044 | 17 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 71.3% | 8,675 | 5,521 | 2,945 | 193 | 16 | 0 | 8,659 | 35 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 12,165 | 7,900 | 3,957 | 290 | 18 | 0 | 12,147 | 54 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex