CANADA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88250. 219 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 43082.80963 / (1 + e^(-0.20474(t - 38.48465))) | 43082.80963 | 0.20474 | 38.48465 | 0.98887 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 15572.30663 / (1 + e^(-0.19323(t - 39.31256))) | 15572.30663 | 0.19323 | 39.31256 | 0.98542 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 26428.54890 / (1 + e^(-0.21146(t - 38.00785))) | 26428.54890 | 0.21146 | 38.00785 | 0.99081 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 1044.72352 / (1 + e^(-0.20085(t - 38.94152))) | 1044.72352 | 0.20085 | 38.94152 | 0.98514 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 36.10625 / (1 + e^(-0.11325(t - 40.07220))) | 36.10625 | 0.11325 | 40.07220 | 0.96013 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.67788 / (1 + e^(-0.30030(t - 37.89123))) | 4.67788 | 0.30030 | 37.89123 | 0.91125 |
| Validos | y(t) = 43042.23591 / (1 + e^(-0.20482(t - 38.48483))) | 43042.23591 | 0.20482 | 38.48483 | 0.98888 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 210.92081 / (1 + e^(-0.09323(t - 45.90096))) | 210.92081 | 0.09323 | 45.90096 | 0.96907 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.7% | 751 | 183 | 557 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 751 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.6% | 1,573 | 446 | 1,104 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1,572 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.5% | 2,860 | 845 | 1,965 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 2,859 | 10 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.9% | 3,938 | 1,198 | 2,675 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 3,937 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 26.1% | 11,484 | 3,737 | 7,468 | 264 | 14 | 1 | 11,469 | 37 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 50.6% | 22,265 | 7,396 | 14,303 | 539 | 24 | 3 | 22,238 | 75 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 82.7% | 36,443 | 12,726 | 22,829 | 858 | 26 | 4 | 36,413 | 133 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 84.8% | 37,364 | 13,188 | 23,258 | 887 | 27 | 4 | 37,333 | 141 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 85.7% | 37,735 | 13,337 | 23,473 | 893 | 28 | 4 | 37,703 | 147 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.2% | 38,397 | 13,594 | 23,858 | 913 | 28 | 4 | 38,365 | 157 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 88.4% | 38,950 | 13,805 | 24,189 | 924 | 28 | 4 | 38,918 | 163 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 91.8% | 40,418 | 14,417 | 24,999 | 967 | 31 | 4 | 40,383 | 176 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 94.4% | 41,585 | 14,884 | 25,662 | 1,002 | 33 | 4 | 41,548 | 187 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 94.7% | 41,689 | 14,927 | 25,719 | 1,006 | 33 | 4 | 41,652 | 188 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 95.1% | 41,895 | 15,038 | 25,805 | 1,014 | 34 | 4 | 41,857 | 191 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 95.3% | 41,984 | 15,083 | 25,847 | 1,016 | 34 | 4 | 41,946 | 194 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 95.5% | 42,076 | 15,116 | 25,901 | 1,020 | 35 | 4 | 42,037 | 195 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 95.5% | 42,076 | 15,116 | 25,901 | 1,020 | 35 | 4 | 42,037 | 195 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 96.8% | 42,611 | 15,333 | 26,208 | 1,029 | 37 | 4 | 42,570 | 201 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 97.3% | 42,851 | 15,429 | 26,349 | 1,031 | 37 | 5 | 42,809 | 204 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 97.3% | 42,851 | 15,429 | 26,349 | 1,031 | 37 | 5 | 42,809 | 204 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 97.6% | 43,001 | 15,505 | 26,421 | 1,033 | 37 | 5 | 42,959 | 207 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 97.7% | 43,047 | 15,527 | 26,444 | 1,034 | 37 | 5 | 43,005 | 208 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 97.7% | 43,047 | 15,527 | 26,444 | 1,034 | 37 | 5 | 43,005 | 208 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 97.8% | 43,063 | 15,534 | 26,452 | 1,035 | 37 | 5 | 43,021 | 209 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 98.0% | 43,168 | 15,585 | 26,504 | 1,037 | 37 | 5 | 43,126 | 210 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 98.0% | 43,168 | 15,585 | 26,504 | 1,037 | 37 | 5 | 43,126 | 210 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 98.0% | 43,168 | 15,585 | 26,504 | 1,037 | 37 | 5 | 43,126 | 210 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 99.4% | 43,765 | 15,874 | 26,785 | 1,064 | 37 | 5 | 43,723 | 216 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 99.8% | 43,960 | 15,952 | 26,893 | 1,073 | 37 | 5 | 43,918 | 218 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 44,040 | 15,988 | 26,936 | 1,074 | 37 | 5 | 43,998 | 219 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex