BRASIL (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88220. 52 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4243.33105 / (1 + e^(-0.30060(t - 35.14584))) | 4243.33105 | 0.30060 | 35.14584 | 0.99826 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2276.19762 / (1 + e^(-0.30811(t - 34.85171))) | 2276.19762 | 0.30811 | 34.85171 | 0.99829 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1891.08785 / (1 + e^(-0.29279(t - 35.45139))) | 1891.08785 | 0.29279 | 35.45139 | 0.99796 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 71.08789 / (1 + e^(-0.31726(t - 36.67323))) | 71.08789 | 0.31726 | 36.67323 | 0.99752 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.00431 / (1 + e^(-0.43246(t - 37.73594))) | 5.00431 | 0.43246 | 37.73594 | 0.99889 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 4238.32559 / (1 + e^(-0.30051(t - 35.14235))) | 4238.32559 | 0.30051 | 35.14235 | 0.99826 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 51.95929 / (1 + e^(-0.26306(t - 34.79523))) | 51.95929 | 0.26306 | 34.79523 | 0.99850 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.3% | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.1% | 810 | 461 | 340 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 810 | 11 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 39.3% | 1,667 | 912 | 732 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1,666 | 22 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 73.9% | 3,131 | 1,766 | 1,318 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 3,128 | 38 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 51 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,239 | 2,274 | 1,889 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 4,234 | 52 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex