VILLANUEVA (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48020. 59 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 11938.69523 / (1 + e^(-0.18786(t - 37.46345))) | 11938.69523 | 0.18786 | 37.46345 | 0.99901 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6308.92203 / (1 + e^(-0.19125(t - 37.38992))) | 6308.92203 | 0.19125 | 37.38992 | 0.99909 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5389.01010 / (1 + e^(-0.18412(t - 37.54780))) | 5389.01010 | 0.18412 | 37.54780 | 0.99887 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 120.85226 / (1 + e^(-0.19415(t - 38.32514))) | 120.85226 | 0.19415 | 38.32514 | 0.99834 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 108.95240 / (1 + e^(-0.17812(t - 36.30118))) | 108.95240 | 0.17812 | 36.30118 | 0.99853 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.01156 / (1 + e^(-0.17787(t - 41.31350))) | 11.01156 | 0.17787 | 41.31350 | 0.99084 |
| Validos | y(t) = 11818.72984 / (1 + e^(-0.18798(t - 37.47020))) | 11818.72984 | 0.18798 | 37.47020 | 0.99900 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 58.92667 / (1 + e^(-0.18726(t - 36.05266))) | 58.92667 | 0.18726 | 36.05266 | 0.99902 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.5% | 416 | 213 | 193 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 409 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 18.5% | 2,207 | 1,141 | 1,014 | 23 | 29 | 0 | 2,178 | 14 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.8% | 4,163 | 2,220 | 1,864 | 32 | 44 | 3 | 4,116 | 24 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 58.9% | 7,046 | 3,735 | 3,172 | 68 | 66 | 5 | 6,975 | 38 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 75.4% | 9,019 | 4,789 | 4,050 | 88 | 85 | 7 | 8,927 | 47 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.8% | 10,611 | 5,674 | 4,721 | 109 | 100 | 7 | 10,504 | 54 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.1% | 11,492 | 6,084 | 5,175 | 116 | 106 | 11 | 11,375 | 57 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.1% | 11,492 | 6,084 | 5,175 | 116 | 106 | 11 | 11,375 | 57 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.1% | 11,492 | 6,084 | 5,175 | 116 | 106 | 11 | 11,375 | 57 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.7% | 11,683 | 6,189 | 5,257 | 118 | 108 | 11 | 11,564 | 58 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,955 | 6,317 | 5,397 | 121 | 109 | 11 | 11,835 | 59 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex