URUMITA (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48018. 28 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 6240.81355 / (1 + e^(-0.17366(t - 42.06595))) | 6240.81355 | 0.17366 | 42.06595 | 0.99951 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3756.70564 / (1 + e^(-0.17450(t - 42.17897))) | 3756.70564 | 0.17450 | 42.17897 | 0.99948 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2399.08362 / (1 + e^(-0.17377(t - 41.91646))) | 2399.08362 | 0.17377 | 41.91646 | 0.99952 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 65.00135 / (1 + e^(-0.14235(t - 41.22262))) | 65.00135 | 0.14235 | 41.22262 | 0.99877 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 16.01112 / (1 + e^(-0.15500(t - 43.39464))) | 16.01112 | 0.15500 | 43.39464 | 0.99814 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.00305 / (1 + e^(-0.15356(t - 31.50879))) | 4.00305 | 0.15356 | 31.50879 | 0.97961 |
| Validos | y(t) = 6220.79052 / (1 + e^(-0.17379(t - 42.06844))) | 6220.79052 | 0.17379 | 42.06844 | 0.99951 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.02455 / (1 + e^(-0.15176(t - 40.88860))) | 28.02455 | 0.15176 | 40.88860 | 0.99911 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.6% | 40 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.2% | 135 | 76 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 134 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.2% | 135 | 76 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 134 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.4% | 524 | 304 | 209 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 521 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.6% | 1,472 | 874 | 571 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1,465 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 35.0% | 2,182 | 1,287 | 859 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 2,174 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 58.0% | 3,618 | 2,164 | 1,405 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3,607 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 77.4% | 4,830 | 2,903 | 1,864 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 4,815 | 22 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 88.5% | 5,523 | 3,330 | 2,118 | 57 | 14 | 4 | 5,505 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.6% | 6,027 | 3,611 | 2,337 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 6,008 | 27 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 96.6% | 6,027 | 3,611 | 2,337 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 6,008 | 27 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 6,239 | 3,756 | 2,398 | 65 | 16 | 4 | 6,219 | 28 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex