EL CAIRO (VALLE)
Municipio code 31046. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3202.53461 / (1 + e^(-0.19971(t - 32.44426))) | 3202.53461 | 0.19971 | 32.44426 | 0.99865 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 953.44029 / (1 + e^(-0.18896(t - 32.06762))) | 953.44029 | 0.18896 | 32.06762 | 0.99796 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2135.08977 / (1 + e^(-0.20524(t - 32.58715))) | 2135.08977 | 0.20524 | 32.58715 | 0.99882 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 58.96573 / (1 + e^(-0.19323(t - 32.90323))) | 58.96573 | 0.19323 | 32.90323 | 0.99831 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 41.03405 / (1 + e^(-0.20792(t - 33.81657))) | 41.03405 | 0.20792 | 33.81657 | 0.99838 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.96591 / (1 + e^(-0.26835(t - 29.64382))) | 13.96591 | 0.26835 | 29.64382 | 0.99427 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3147.51634 / (1 + e^(-0.19960(t - 32.43868))) | 3147.51634 | 0.19960 | 32.43868 | 0.99863 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.97599 / (1 + e^(-0.19155(t - 29.72686))) | 23.97599 | 0.19155 | 29.72686 | 0.99771 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.7% | 88 | 27 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 15.4% | 493 | 177 | 300 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 484 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 33.7% | 1,081 | 347 | 696 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 1,063 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 60.5% | 1,939 | 599 | 1,274 | 35 | 20 | 11 | 1,908 | 17 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 78.9% | 2,529 | 745 | 1,697 | 44 | 31 | 12 | 2,486 | 20 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.3% | 2,732 | 807 | 1,826 | 51 | 36 | 12 | 2,684 | 21 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.2% | 3,051 | 895 | 2,047 | 54 | 41 | 14 | 2,996 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,204 | 954 | 2,136 | 59 | 41 | 14 | 3,149 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex