EL AGUILA (VALLE)
Municipio code 31043. 31 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4163.71043 / (1 + e^(-0.24321(t - 28.66264))) | 4163.71043 | 0.24321 | 28.66264 | 0.99917 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 917.77690 / (1 + e^(-0.22438(t - 29.29557))) | 917.77690 | 0.22438 | 29.29557 | 0.99851 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3097.88496 / (1 + e^(-0.25104(t - 28.48903))) | 3097.88496 | 0.25104 | 28.48903 | 0.99930 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 78.05619 / (1 + e^(-0.21273(t - 28.68810))) | 78.05619 | 0.21273 | 28.68810 | 0.99802 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 61.05843 / (1 + e^(-0.23750(t - 28.54168))) | 61.05843 | 0.23750 | 28.54168 | 0.99804 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.01202 / (1 + e^(-0.23345(t - 29.44753))) | 9.01202 | 0.23345 | 29.44753 | 0.99148 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4093.63882 / (1 + e^(-0.24334(t - 28.66271))) | 4093.63882 | 0.24334 | 28.66271 | 0.99919 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 31.01432 / (1 + e^(-0.21184(t - 25.96740))) | 31.01432 | 0.21184 | 25.96740 | 0.99703 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 10.0% | 417 | 89 | 315 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 411 | 7 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 24.6% | 1,024 | 223 | 756 | 25 | 17 | 3 | 1,004 | 13 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 53.0% | 2,206 | 461 | 1,669 | 40 | 32 | 4 | 2,170 | 20 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 75.3% | 3,135 | 634 | 2,394 | 56 | 45 | 6 | 3,084 | 25 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 95.3% | 3,966 | 850 | 2,976 | 71 | 60 | 9 | 3,897 | 30 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,161 | 917 | 3,096 | 78 | 61 | 9 | 4,091 | 31 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex