VILLARRICA (TOLIMA)
Municipio code 29127. 17 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3044.82596 / (1 + e^(-0.18856(t - 36.57280))) | 3044.82596 | 0.18856 | 36.57280 | 0.99643 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 701.02512 / (1 + e^(-0.16803(t - 34.92995))) | 701.02512 | 0.16803 | 34.92995 | 0.99572 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2299.65307 / (1 + e^(-0.19721(t - 37.05613))) | 2299.65307 | 0.19721 | 37.05613 | 0.99643 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 23.04219 / (1 + e^(-0.16003(t - 35.22364))) | 23.04219 | 0.16003 | 35.22364 | 0.99478 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 14.00411 / (1 + e^(-0.23920(t - 35.49321))) | 14.00411 | 0.23920 | 35.49321 | 0.99664 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.01743 / (1 + e^(-0.16839(t - 38.71492))) | 7.01743 | 0.16839 | 38.71492 | 0.98652 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3023.80469 / (1 + e^(-0.18846(t - 36.57300))) | 3023.80469 | 0.18846 | 36.57300 | 0.99642 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.02850 / (1 + e^(-0.16102(t - 33.74015))) | 17.02850 | 0.16102 | 33.74015 | 0.99631 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.7% | 53 | 27 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.7% | 53 | 27 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.7% | 357 | 126 | 227 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 356 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 17.7% | 539 | 167 | 361 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 536 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 43.6% | 1,326 | 356 | 950 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1,316 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.0% | 1,671 | 444 | 1,201 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1,659 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 77.0% | 2,340 | 526 | 1,781 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 2,324 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,040 | 700 | 2,296 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3,019 | 17 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex