ALPUJARRA (TOLIMA)
Municipio code 29004. 15 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2384.79437 / (1 + e^(-0.36670(t - 35.11660))) | 2384.79437 | 0.36670 | 35.11660 | 0.99865 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 495.31576 / (1 + e^(-0.37979(t - 35.19811))) | 495.31576 | 0.37979 | 35.19811 | 0.99925 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1838.46492 / (1 + e^(-0.36041(t - 35.09115))) | 1838.46492 | 0.36041 | 35.09115 | 0.99843 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 27.00638 / (1 + e^(-0.45777(t - 34.47561))) | 27.00638 | 0.45777 | 34.47561 | 0.99982 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.00484 / (1 + e^(-0.64343(t - 35.70626))) | 21.00484 | 0.64343 | 35.70626 | 0.99667 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00213 / (1 + e^(-0.37027(t - 36.50601))) | 3.00213 | 0.37027 | 36.50601 | 0.99795 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2360.78243 / (1 + e^(-0.36548(t - 35.10840))) | 2360.78243 | 0.36548 | 35.10840 | 0.99866 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 15.02622 / (1 + e^(-0.20795(t - 31.76114))) | 15.02622 | 0.20795 | 31.76114 | 0.99422 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.3% | 31 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.4% | 200 | 30 | 167 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 198 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.9% | 283 | 51 | 228 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 281 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 37.4% | 892 | 185 | 689 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 886 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 81.7% | 1,946 | 402 | 1,499 | 24 | 19 | 2 | 1,925 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,383 | 495 | 1,837 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 2,359 | 15 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex