GAMBITA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27088. 13 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2525.17008 / (1 + e^(-0.25411(t - 37.39137))) | 2525.17008 | 0.25411 | 37.39137 | 0.99565 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 382.40222 / (1 + e^(-0.35046(t - 36.79242))) | 382.40222 | 0.35046 | 36.79242 | 0.99306 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2108.61036 / (1 + e^(-0.24695(t - 37.45104))) | 2108.61036 | 0.24695 | 37.45104 | 0.99612 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 20.97105 / (1 + e^(-0.18835(t - 38.98958))) | 20.97105 | 0.18835 | 38.98958 | 0.99367 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.00713 / (1 + e^(-0.30815(t - 41.51041))) | 7.00713 | 0.30815 | 41.51041 | 0.99355 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 6.01401 / (1 + e^(-0.12536(t - 42.84687))) | 6.01401 | 0.12536 | 42.84687 | 0.98796 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2512.15762 / (1 + e^(-0.25502(t - 37.36952))) | 2512.15762 | 0.25502 | 37.36952 | 0.99566 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 12.99518 / (1 + e^(-0.18710(t - 34.76382))) | 12.99518 | 0.18710 | 34.76382 | 0.99359 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.5% | 165 | 20 | 142 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.5% | 165 | 20 | 142 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 25.4% | 642 | 85 | 551 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 641 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.6% | 1,736 | 294 | 1,425 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1,730 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 80.2% | 2,029 | 317 | 1,688 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2,022 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.5% | 2,265 | 343 | 1,894 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2,254 | 12 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.5% | 2,265 | 343 | 1,894 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2,254 | 12 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,531 | 384 | 2,113 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2,518 | 13 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex