GALAN (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27085. 14 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1903.38785 / (1 + e^(-0.16147(t - 40.29036))) | 1903.38785 | 0.16147 | 40.29036 | 0.99746 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 218.17708 / (1 + e^(-0.16361(t - 41.45603))) | 218.17708 | 0.16361 | 41.45603 | 0.99636 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1671.22370 / (1 + e^(-0.16086(t - 40.14147))) | 1671.22370 | 0.16086 | 40.14147 | 0.99737 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 10.00301 / (1 + e^(-0.18655(t - 39.00479))) | 10.00301 | 0.18655 | 39.00479 | 0.99860 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 4.01045 / (1 + e^(-0.22226(t - 41.85575))) | 4.01045 | 0.22226 | 41.85575 | 0.98264 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 1899.37792 / (1 + e^(-0.16140(t - 40.28784))) | 1899.37792 | 0.16140 | 40.28784 | 0.99747 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.01302 / (1 + e^(-0.15634(t - 35.89287))) | 14.01302 | 0.15634 | 35.89287 | 0.99848 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 4.2% | 79 | 1 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.4% | 121 | 6 | 114 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 16.9% | 321 | 21 | 298 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 320 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 30.5% | 580 | 67 | 509 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 579 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 39.3% | 747 | 76 | 665 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 746 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 62.0% | 1,178 | 133 | 1,036 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1,176 | 11 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.5% | 1,645 | 176 | 1,456 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1,641 | 13 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.5% | 1,645 | 176 | 1,456 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1,641 | 13 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,901 | 218 | 1,669 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1,897 | 14 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex