CHIMA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27067. 8 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1788.74101 / (1 + e^(-0.18892(t - 40.24619))) | 1788.74101 | 0.18892 | 40.24619 | 0.99657 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 254.50260 / (1 + e^(-0.18776(t - 40.89607))) | 254.50260 | 0.18776 | 40.89607 | 0.99460 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1504.17574 / (1 + e^(-0.18959(t - 40.15080))) | 1504.17574 | 0.18959 | 40.15080 | 0.99677 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 23.03490 / (1 + e^(-0.18145(t - 39.24569))) | 23.03490 | 0.18145 | 39.24569 | 0.99349 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.01416 / (1 + e^(-0.15131(t - 41.20877))) | 5.01416 | 0.15131 | 41.20877 | 0.98356 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 2.00000 / (1 + e^(-140.04389(t - 39.00000))) | 2.00000 | 140.04389 | 39.00000 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1781.72866 / (1 + e^(-0.18893(t - 40.24528))) | 1781.72866 | 0.18893 | 40.24528 | 0.99657 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 8.01017 / (1 + e^(-0.18073(t - 39.02152))) | 8.01017 | 0.18073 | 39.02152 | 0.99565 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 10.1% | 181 | 35 | 142 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 30.5% | 544 | 70 | 464 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 542 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 44.5% | 794 | 105 | 674 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 791 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 58.7% | 1,049 | 133 | 899 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1,045 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.3% | 1,542 | 224 | 1,291 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1,536 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,786 | 254 | 1,502 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1,779 | 8 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex