CHARTA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27064. 12 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2596.93407 / (1 + e^(-0.21166(t - 37.04788))) | 2596.93407 | 0.21166 | 37.04788 | 0.99414 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 338.42822 / (1 + e^(-0.14824(t - 39.95026))) | 338.42822 | 0.14824 | 39.95026 | 0.99234 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2226.17917 / (1 + e^(-0.22913(t - 36.63790))) | 2226.17917 | 0.22913 | 36.63790 | 0.99480 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 24.98746 / (1 + e^(-0.14317(t - 43.79355))) | 24.98746 | 0.14317 | 43.79355 | 0.98997 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.00767 / (1 + e^(-0.09507(t - 42.75613))) | 5.00767 | 0.09507 | 42.75613 | 0.96841 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00774 / (1 + e^(-0.22010(t - 37.54865))) | 3.00774 | 0.22010 | 37.54865 | 0.97363 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2588.96140 / (1 + e^(-0.21213(t - 37.04265))) | 2588.96140 | 0.21213 | 37.04265 | 0.99415 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 11.97109 / (1 + e^(-0.19472(t - 36.75239))) | 11.97109 | 0.19472 | 36.75239 | 0.99612 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.5% | 90 | 11 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 14.0% | 364 | 44 | 317 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 362 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 30.1% | 784 | 88 | 690 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 781 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.3% | 1,781 | 185 | 1,582 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1,777 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 82.6% | 2,152 | 247 | 1,883 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2,146 | 10 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.6% | 2,152 | 247 | 1,883 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2,146 | 10 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 90.2% | 2,350 | 280 | 2,045 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2,344 | 11 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 90.2% | 2,350 | 280 | 2,045 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2,344 | 11 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 2,606 | 339 | 2,234 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2,598 | 12 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex