BOLIVAR (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27025. 34 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5060.02872 / (1 + e^(-0.14509(t - 41.58527))) | 5060.02872 | 0.14509 | 41.58527 | 0.99439 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1343.02172 / (1 + e^(-0.14906(t - 41.21586))) | 1343.02172 | 0.14906 | 41.21586 | 0.99294 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3625.82343 / (1 + e^(-0.14382(t - 41.72318))) | 3625.82343 | 0.14382 | 41.72318 | 0.99454 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.03495 / (1 + e^(-0.15258(t - 39.64838))) | 49.03495 | 0.15258 | 39.64838 | 0.99375 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 26.01889 / (1 + e^(-0.14981(t - 40.72700))) | 26.01889 | 0.14981 | 40.72700 | 0.99263 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.03619 / (1 + e^(-0.17676(t - 47.74600))) | 16.03619 | 0.17676 | 47.74600 | 0.99334 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5017.95510 / (1 + e^(-0.14508(t - 41.56912))) | 5017.95510 | 0.14508 | 41.56912 | 0.99440 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 34.05215 / (1 + e^(-0.13596(t - 40.00542))) | 34.05215 | 0.13596 | 40.00542 | 0.99547 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.5% | 27 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.2% | 162 | 45 | 112 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.2% | 667 | 134 | 522 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 664 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.7% | 1,200 | 297 | 884 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1,192 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 53.0% | 2,679 | 759 | 1,870 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 2,659 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 53.0% | 2,679 | 759 | 1,870 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 2,659 | 19 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 68.7% | 3,472 | 954 | 2,455 | 37 | 18 | 8 | 3,446 | 25 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 83.0% | 4,193 | 1,073 | 3,044 | 43 | 22 | 11 | 4,160 | 29 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,053 | 1,342 | 3,620 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 5,011 | 34 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex