BETULIA (SANTANDER)
Municipio code 27022. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3004.11323 / (1 + e^(-0.28534(t - 37.15276))) | 3004.11323 | 0.28534 | 37.15276 | 0.99844 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 646.66438 / (1 + e^(-0.28509(t - 37.91679))) | 646.66438 | 0.28509 | 37.91679 | 0.99866 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2278.36244 / (1 + e^(-0.28760(t - 36.98595))) | 2278.36244 | 0.28760 | 36.98595 | 0.99837 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.06334 / (1 + e^(-0.24438(t - 34.45709))) | 49.06334 | 0.24438 | 34.45709 | 0.99592 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 25.01174 / (1 + e^(-0.30911(t - 37.28411))) | 25.01174 | 0.30911 | 37.28411 | 0.99927 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00465 / (1 + e^(-0.32043(t - 39.76991))) | 5.00465 | 0.32043 | 39.76991 | 0.99853 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2974.09675 / (1 + e^(-0.28513(t - 37.14692))) | 2974.09675 | 0.28513 | 37.14692 | 0.99842 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.02122 / (1 + e^(-0.21273(t - 34.42264))) | 16.02122 | 0.21273 | 34.42264 | 0.99695 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.3% | 39 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.3% | 39 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.6% | 468 | 88 | 363 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 465 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 27.2% | 816 | 153 | 634 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 809 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 59.8% | 1,796 | 353 | 1,391 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 1,778 | 11 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.8% | 2,756 | 567 | 2,114 | 49 | 22 | 4 | 2,730 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,001 | 646 | 2,276 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 2,971 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex