CIRCASIA (QUINDIO)
Municipio code 26020. 75 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 16327.27710 / (1 + e^(-0.27484(t - 38.28304))) | 16327.27710 | 0.27484 | 38.28304 | 0.99955 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5935.00555 / (1 + e^(-0.27829(t - 38.23135))) | 5935.00555 | 0.27829 | 38.23135 | 0.99968 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 9866.53515 / (1 + e^(-0.27288(t - 38.29833))) | 9866.53515 | 0.27288 | 38.29833 | 0.99942 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 291.91246 / (1 + e^(-0.27505(t - 38.14916))) | 291.91246 | 0.27505 | 38.14916 | 0.99972 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 214.83059 / (1 + e^(-0.26920(t - 39.23973))) | 214.83059 | 0.26920 | 39.23973 | 0.99950 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 19.02553 / (1 + e^(-0.26643(t - 37.73764))) | 19.02553 | 0.26643 | 37.73764 | 0.99751 |
| Validos | y(t) = 16093.45959 / (1 + e^(-0.27488(t - 38.27112))) | 16093.45959 | 0.27488 | 38.27112 | 0.99955 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 75.02007 / (1 + e^(-0.25725(t - 37.58526))) | 75.02007 | 0.25725 | 37.58526 | 0.99938 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.4% | 393 | 164 | 223 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 392 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 10.8% | 1,766 | 570 | 1,156 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1,751 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 22.6% | 3,696 | 1,370 | 2,210 | 71 | 40 | 5 | 3,651 | 20 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 53.2% | 8,687 | 3,187 | 5,225 | 159 | 106 | 10 | 8,571 | 43 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.1% | 13,898 | 5,075 | 8,386 | 250 | 170 | 17 | 13,711 | 65 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.7% | 15,616 | 5,677 | 9,448 | 275 | 197 | 19 | 15,400 | 72 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.0% | 15,839 | 5,752 | 9,586 | 281 | 201 | 19 | 15,619 | 73 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 16,326 | 5,935 | 9,865 | 292 | 215 | 19 | 16,092 | 75 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex