CALARCA (QUINDIO)
Municipio code 26010. 183 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 39457.62414 / (1 + e^(-0.25181(t - 33.55259))) | 39457.62414 | 0.25181 | 33.55259 | 0.99943 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 15387.42297 / (1 + e^(-0.25425(t - 32.82855))) | 15387.42297 | 0.25425 | 32.82855 | 0.99930 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 22595.86586 / (1 + e^(-0.25176(t - 34.05570))) | 22595.86586 | 0.25176 | 34.05570 | 0.99952 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 789.12445 / (1 + e^(-0.25000(t - 32.92491))) | 789.12445 | 0.25000 | 32.92491 | 0.99918 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 622.17594 / (1 + e^(-0.26303(t - 33.80011))) | 622.17594 | 0.26303 | 33.80011 | 0.99964 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 62.99572 / (1 + e^(-0.23437(t - 35.48641))) | 62.99572 | 0.23437 | 35.48641 | 0.99913 |
| Validos | y(t) = 38772.46411 / (1 + e^(-0.25168(t - 33.54555))) | 38772.46411 | 0.25168 | 33.54555 | 0.99943 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 183.02913 / (1 + e^(-0.24301(t - 32.68711))) | 183.02913 | 0.24301 | 32.68711 | 0.99931 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 52 | 29 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.1% | 2,409 | 1,143 | 1,175 | 54 | 35 | 2 | 2,372 | 17 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 27.6% | 10,887 | 4,808 | 5,665 | 248 | 153 | 13 | 10,721 | 60 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 51.0% | 20,110 | 8,481 | 10,858 | 433 | 312 | 26 | 19,772 | 101 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 79.6% | 31,425 | 12,725 | 17,526 | 640 | 491 | 43 | 30,891 | 151 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 94.6% | 37,341 | 14,775 | 21,160 | 755 | 594 | 57 | 36,690 | 175 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 97.4% | 38,426 | 15,085 | 21,892 | 778 | 613 | 58 | 37,755 | 179 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 99.2% | 39,157 | 15,292 | 22,398 | 784 | 620 | 63 | 38,474 | 182 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 39,456 | 15,386 | 22,596 | 789 | 622 | 63 | 38,771 | 183 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex