MISTRATO (RISARALDA)
Municipio code 24062. 40 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8105.58576 / (1 + e^(-0.18444(t - 39.52172))) | 8105.58576 | 0.18444 | 39.52172 | 0.99833 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4787.87121 / (1 + e^(-0.16764(t - 40.99773))) | 4787.87121 | 0.16764 | 40.99773 | 0.99705 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3087.18211 / (1 + e^(-0.22568(t - 37.71127))) | 3087.18211 | 0.22568 | 37.71127 | 0.99849 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 104.20463 / (1 + e^(-0.20825(t - 39.26888))) | 104.20463 | 0.20825 | 39.26888 | 0.99524 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 100.16222 / (1 + e^(-0.22958(t - 38.47106))) | 100.16222 | 0.22958 | 38.47106 | 0.99697 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 28.94690 / (1 + e^(-0.15734(t - 38.05734))) | 28.94690 | 0.15734 | 38.05734 | 0.99420 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7976.53994 / (1 + e^(-0.18413(t - 39.54375))) | 7976.53994 | 0.18413 | 39.54375 | 0.99832 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 40.05304 / (1 + e^(-0.16414(t - 37.73894))) | 40.05304 | 0.16414 | 37.73894 | 0.99780 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 91 | 61 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 89 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 4.1% | 329 | 155 | 162 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 324 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.9% | 1,125 | 603 | 488 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 1,106 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 31.1% | 2,515 | 1,492 | 949 | 32 | 31 | 11 | 2,473 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 44.6% | 3,610 | 1,848 | 1,658 | 42 | 45 | 17 | 3,548 | 20 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 65.0% | 5,263 | 2,644 | 2,448 | 72 | 79 | 20 | 5,164 | 28 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 90.5% | 7,333 | 4,026 | 3,079 | 103 | 100 | 25 | 7,208 | 37 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.4% | 7,805 | 4,493 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 25 | 7,680 | 39 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.4% | 7,805 | 4,493 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 25 | 7,680 | 39 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,099 | 4,783 | 3,083 | 104 | 100 | 29 | 7,970 | 40 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex