MARSELLA (RISARALDA)
Municipio code 24054. 48 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8962.01728 / (1 + e^(-0.24808(t - 31.64295))) | 8962.01728 | 0.24808 | 31.64295 | 0.99962 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3612.39714 / (1 + e^(-0.22942(t - 32.48145))) | 3612.39714 | 0.22942 | 32.48145 | 0.99944 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5042.10252 / (1 + e^(-0.26391(t - 31.12505))) | 5042.10252 | 0.26391 | 31.12505 | 0.99955 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 153.15227 / (1 + e^(-0.25609(t - 30.90129))) | 153.15227 | 0.25609 | 30.90129 | 0.99780 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 122.10585 / (1 + e^(-0.24072(t - 30.87255))) | 122.10585 | 0.24072 | 30.87255 | 0.99933 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 33.03562 / (1 + e^(-0.21103(t - 33.59901))) | 33.03562 | 0.21103 | 33.59901 | 0.99778 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8806.88873 / (1 + e^(-0.24839(t - 31.64685))) | 8806.88873 | 0.24839 | 31.64685 | 0.99962 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 48.03412 / (1 + e^(-0.24038(t - 31.37588))) | 48.03412 | 0.24038 | 31.37588 | 0.99948 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.7% | 334 | 143 | 176 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 326 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 12.1% | 1,080 | 374 | 659 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 1,055 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 36.7% | 3,286 | 1,239 | 1,924 | 64 | 48 | 11 | 3,227 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 61.9% | 5,546 | 2,050 | 3,305 | 95 | 80 | 16 | 5,450 | 30 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 86.6% | 7,757 | 2,956 | 4,525 | 144 | 108 | 24 | 7,625 | 42 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 96.8% | 8,673 | 3,346 | 5,021 | 153 | 122 | 31 | 8,520 | 47 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,958 | 3,611 | 5,039 | 153 | 122 | 33 | 8,803 | 48 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex