UNION PANAMERICANA (LAS ANIMAS (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17060. 22 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3109.63495 / (1 + e^(-0.14978(t - 39.13437))) | 3109.63495 | 0.14978 | 39.13437 | 0.99579 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2372.03549 / (1 + e^(-0.14905(t - 38.77747))) | 2372.03549 | 0.14905 | 38.77747 | 0.99563 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 650.71225 / (1 + e^(-0.15643(t - 40.39641))) | 650.71225 | 0.15643 | 40.39641 | 0.99493 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 23.90614 / (1 + e^(-0.13718(t - 39.56386))) | 23.90614 | 0.13718 | 39.56386 | 0.99150 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 57.86938 / (1 + e^(-0.13707(t - 38.35003))) | 57.86938 | 0.13707 | 38.35003 | 0.98999 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.97800 / (1 + e^(-0.20270(t - 40.60484))) | 4.97800 | 0.20270 | 40.60484 | 0.98723 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3046.76850 / (1 + e^(-0.15003(t - 39.14460))) | 3046.76850 | 0.15003 | 39.14460 | 0.99583 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 21.97015 / (1 + e^(-0.13555(t - 37.62306))) | 21.97015 | 0.13555 | 37.62306 | 0.99742 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 34 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.8% | 55 | 40 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 17.3% | 540 | 451 | 68 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 524 | 6 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.7% | 1,113 | 885 | 194 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1,087 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 51.8% | 1,614 | 1,282 | 285 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 1,580 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 65.7% | 2,048 | 1,554 | 441 | 15 | 34 | 4 | 2,010 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.6% | 2,669 | 2,047 | 547 | 20 | 51 | 4 | 2,614 | 19 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 85.6% | 2,669 | 2,047 | 547 | 20 | 51 | 4 | 2,614 | 19 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.8% | 2,739 | 2,108 | 555 | 21 | 51 | 4 | 2,684 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 93.7% | 2,921 | 2,240 | 601 | 21 | 54 | 5 | 2,862 | 21 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 93.7% | 2,921 | 2,240 | 601 | 21 | 54 | 5 | 2,862 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,118 | 2,378 | 653 | 24 | 58 | 5 | 3,055 | 22 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex