UNGUIA (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17048. 33 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4992.41491 / (1 + e^(-0.14361(t - 48.24083))) | 4992.41491 | 0.14361 | 48.24083 | 0.99612 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3209.06394 / (1 + e^(-0.15016(t - 49.29680))) | 3209.06394 | 0.15016 | 49.29680 | 0.99717 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1699.51926 / (1 + e^(-0.13906(t - 46.18446))) | 1699.51926 | 0.13906 | 46.18446 | 0.99332 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 54.11202 / (1 + e^(-0.11749(t - 47.91824))) | 54.11202 | 0.11749 | 47.91824 | 0.99156 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 19.03499 / (1 + e^(-0.14597(t - 49.36450))) | 19.03499 | 0.14597 | 49.36450 | 0.99685 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.01333 / (1 + e^(-0.15139(t - 44.26931))) | 10.01333 | 0.15139 | 44.26931 | 0.98721 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4963.36454 / (1 + e^(-0.14361(t - 48.24450))) | 4963.36454 | 0.14361 | 48.24450 | 0.99612 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 33.05107 / (1 + e^(-0.13317(t - 46.68668))) | 33.05107 | 0.13317 | 46.68668 | 0.99567 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 2.0% | 99 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 98 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 6.2% | 309 | 179 | 121 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 306 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 33.4% | 1,664 | 915 | 717 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 1,654 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 33.4% | 1,664 | 915 | 717 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 1,654 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 51.8% | 2,582 | 1,531 | 1,007 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 2,567 | 18 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 66.4% | 3,310 | 2,063 | 1,194 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 3,290 | 23 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 80.4% | 4,010 | 2,575 | 1,374 | 37 | 14 | 10 | 3,986 | 27 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 93.3% | 4,649 | 2,955 | 1,617 | 49 | 18 | 10 | 4,621 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,985 | 3,204 | 1,698 | 54 | 19 | 10 | 4,956 | 33 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex