CARMEN DEL DARIEN (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17015. 39 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 5549.09303 / (1 + e^(-0.12579(t - 46.16116))) | 5549.09303 | 0.12579 | 46.16116 | 0.99768 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4709.70533 / (1 + e^(-0.12430(t - 45.69120))) | 4709.70533 | 0.12430 | 45.69120 | 0.99753 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 688.85731 / (1 + e^(-0.14368(t - 47.53419))) | 688.85731 | 0.14368 | 47.53419 | 0.99762 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 54.69268 / (1 + e^(-0.14476(t - 47.79171))) | 54.69268 | 0.14476 | 47.79171 | 0.99349 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 81.61998 / (1 + e^(-0.13612(t - 58.61858))) | 81.61998 | 0.13612 | 58.61858 | 0.99012 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.97173 / (1 + e^(-0.15899(t - 48.15353))) | 13.97173 | 0.15899 | 48.15353 | 0.99564 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5453.48398 / (1 + e^(-0.12641(t - 45.96774))) | 5453.48398 | 0.12641 | 45.96774 | 0.99764 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 39.00469 / (1 + e^(-0.11471(t - 43.56434))) | 39.00469 | 0.11471 | 43.56434 | 0.99744 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.7% | 38 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.2% | 176 | 171 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 11.1% | 617 | 576 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 616 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 18.2% | 1,010 | 906 | 100 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1,009 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 34.6% | 1,921 | 1,717 | 181 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1,911 | 16 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 39.5% | 2,193 | 1,941 | 221 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 2,181 | 18 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 54.0% | 3,001 | 2,578 | 372 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 2,982 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 77.2% | 4,288 | 3,679 | 530 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 4,252 | 32 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 86.5% | 4,806 | 4,106 | 597 | 45 | 46 | 12 | 4,748 | 35 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 89.9% | 4,995 | 4,260 | 611 | 46 | 66 | 12 | 4,917 | 36 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 89.9% | 4,995 | 4,260 | 611 | 46 | 66 | 12 | 4,917 | 36 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 96.9% | 5,381 | 4,579 | 671 | 51 | 66 | 14 | 5,301 | 38 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 96.9% | 5,381 | 4,579 | 671 | 51 | 66 | 14 | 5,301 | 38 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 96.9% | 5,381 | 4,579 | 671 | 51 | 66 | 14 | 5,301 | 38 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,554 | 4,713 | 690 | 55 | 82 | 14 | 5,458 | 39 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex