CERTEGUI (CHOCO)
Municipio code 17014. 18 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 2996.79578 / (1 + e^(-0.19531(t - 36.74478))) | 2996.79578 | 0.19531 | 36.74478 | 0.99761 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2347.28761 / (1 + e^(-0.20113(t - 36.38489))) | 2347.28761 | 0.20113 | 36.38489 | 0.99756 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 598.64576 / (1 + e^(-0.18020(t - 38.42158))) | 598.64576 | 0.18020 | 38.42158 | 0.99654 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 19.95248 / (1 + e^(-0.16345(t - 38.69057))) | 19.95248 | 0.16345 | 38.69057 | 0.99224 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 24.00217 / (1 + e^(-0.24245(t - 33.48422))) | 24.00217 | 0.24245 | 33.48422 | 0.99772 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00070 / (1 + e^(-0.55738(t - 30.69539))) | 7.00070 | 0.55738 | 30.69539 | 0.99986 |
| Validos | y(t) = 2965.83616 / (1 + e^(-0.19496(t - 36.79188))) | 2965.83616 | 0.19496 | 36.79188 | 0.99759 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.98484 / (1 + e^(-0.16261(t - 34.83458))) | 17.98484 | 0.16261 | 34.83458 | 0.99681 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 2.8% | 83 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.8% | 83 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.8% | 83 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.9% | 598 | 475 | 111 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 589 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 35.6% | 1,068 | 845 | 198 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 1,050 | 8 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 63.5% | 1,907 | 1,566 | 302 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 1,880 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.8% | 2,367 | 1,886 | 441 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 2,339 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.1% | 2,796 | 2,200 | 547 | 18 | 24 | 7 | 2,765 | 17 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 93.1% | 2,796 | 2,200 | 547 | 18 | 24 | 7 | 2,765 | 17 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 93.1% | 2,796 | 2,200 | 547 | 18 | 24 | 7 | 2,765 | 17 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 93.1% | 2,796 | 2,200 | 547 | 18 | 24 | 7 | 2,765 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,004 | 2,353 | 600 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 2,973 | 18 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex