CARMEN DE CARUPA (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15040. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4582.25655 / (1 + e^(-0.12371(t - 40.01533))) | 4582.25655 | 0.12371 | 40.01533 | 0.99174 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 993.86626 / (1 + e^(-0.13050(t - 40.04687))) | 993.86626 | 0.13050 | 40.04687 | 0.99584 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3447.96304 / (1 + e^(-0.12134(t - 40.00126))) | 3447.96304 | 0.12134 | 40.00126 | 0.98996 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 84.79662 / (1 + e^(-0.13082(t - 42.29585))) | 84.79662 | 0.13082 | 42.29585 | 0.99421 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 48.87944 / (1 + e^(-0.15961(t - 36.73864))) | 48.87944 | 0.15961 | 36.73864 | 0.99706 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.01779 / (1 + e^(-0.08647(t - 49.82824))) | 7.01779 | 0.08647 | 49.82824 | 0.98333 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4526.47558 / (1 + e^(-0.12349(t - 40.04415))) | 4526.47558 | 0.12349 | 40.04415 | 0.99169 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 18.94776 / (1 + e^(-0.11167(t - 41.27306))) | 18.94776 | 0.11167 | 41.27306 | 0.99023 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.2% | 239 | 64 | 170 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 236 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 16.1% | 742 | 161 | 559 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 729 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.4% | 1,765 | 374 | 1,342 | 27 | 21 | 1 | 1,743 | 7 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 50.0% | 2,299 | 479 | 1,757 | 31 | 29 | 3 | 2,267 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 66.4% | 3,051 | 629 | 2,331 | 50 | 38 | 3 | 3,010 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 77.3% | 3,552 | 775 | 2,668 | 64 | 41 | 4 | 3,507 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 81.9% | 3,766 | 847 | 2,800 | 70 | 45 | 4 | 3,717 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 81.9% | 3,766 | 847 | 2,800 | 70 | 45 | 4 | 3,717 | 15 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 87.4% | 4,017 | 913 | 2,977 | 75 | 47 | 5 | 3,965 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 87.4% | 4,017 | 913 | 2,977 | 75 | 47 | 5 | 3,965 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,598 | 996 | 3,461 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 4,542 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex