BELTRAN (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15019. 7 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1403.90850 / (1 + e^(-0.19584(t - 41.62635))) | 1403.90850 | 0.19584 | 41.62635 | 0.99405 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 534.11265 / (1 + e^(-0.21923(t - 43.53604))) | 534.11265 | 0.21923 | 43.53604 | 0.99324 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 852.68297 / (1 + e^(-0.19070(t - 40.52004))) | 852.68297 | 0.19070 | 40.52004 | 0.99422 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 7.00979 / (1 + e^(-0.23974(t - 42.30709))) | 7.00979 | 0.23974 | 42.30709 | 0.99728 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 9.01332 / (1 + e^(-0.17059(t - 35.35304))) | 9.01332 | 0.17059 | 35.35304 | 0.98517 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.64773(t - 26.49971))) | 1.00000 | 9.64773 | 26.49971 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1393.87819 / (1 + e^(-0.19668(t - 41.67632))) | 1393.87819 | 0.19668 | 41.67632 | 0.99411 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 7.01548 / (1 + e^(-0.16513(t - 39.92651))) | 7.01548 | 0.16513 | 39.92651 | 0.99168 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.2% | 283 | 80 | 197 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 278 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 20.2% | 283 | 80 | 197 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 278 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 35.7% | 500 | 163 | 329 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 494 | 3 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 52.5% | 735 | 213 | 510 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 727 | 4 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.4% | 1,210 | 435 | 759 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1,200 | 6 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,401 | 533 | 851 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1,391 | 7 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex