ARBELAEZ (CUNDINAMARCA)
Municipio code 15016. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 7194.40508 / (1 + e^(-0.20955(t - 43.40624))) | 7194.40508 | 0.20955 | 43.40624 | 0.99939 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2290.42183 / (1 + e^(-0.20994(t - 42.96292))) | 2290.42183 | 0.20994 | 42.96292 | 0.99921 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4743.83443 / (1 + e^(-0.20882(t - 43.66946))) | 4743.83443 | 0.20882 | 43.66946 | 0.99933 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 99.06788 / (1 + e^(-0.26134(t - 41.79656))) | 99.06788 | 0.26134 | 41.79656 | 0.99952 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 51.05134 / (1 + e^(-0.24469(t - 42.39877))) | 51.05134 | 0.24469 | 42.39877 | 0.99906 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.01195 / (1 + e^(-0.34381(t - 44.28087))) | 10.01195 | 0.34381 | 44.28087 | 0.99707 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7133.37528 / (1 + e^(-0.20919(t - 43.41353))) | 7133.37528 | 0.20919 | 43.41353 | 0.99939 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.98044 / (1 + e^(-0.20553(t - 42.56333))) | 28.98044 | 0.20553 | 42.56333 | 0.99947 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.9% | 352 | 101 | 241 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 349 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.4% | 821 | 243 | 561 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 815 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 30.4% | 2,186 | 753 | 1,381 | 33 | 17 | 2 | 2,167 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 51.1% | 3,677 | 1,252 | 2,331 | 61 | 29 | 4 | 3,644 | 16 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 77.1% | 5,552 | 1,811 | 3,602 | 88 | 42 | 9 | 5,501 | 23 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.7% | 6,601 | 2,066 | 4,377 | 97 | 51 | 10 | 6,540 | 27 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.6% | 6,888 | 2,187 | 4,541 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 6,827 | 28 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.6% | 6,888 | 2,187 | 4,541 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 6,827 | 28 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 95.6% | 6,888 | 2,187 | 4,541 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 6,827 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 7,202 | 2,294 | 4,748 | 99 | 51 | 10 | 7,141 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex