SAN JUAN DE URABA (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01231. 64 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 10258.54797 / (1 + e^(-0.14685(t - 42.88573))) | 10258.54797 | 0.14685 | 42.88573 | 0.99483 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4296.84177 / (1 + e^(-0.14965(t - 42.51358))) | 4296.84177 | 0.14965 | 42.51358 | 0.99488 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5774.80404 / (1 + e^(-0.14490(t - 43.13603))) | 5774.80404 | 0.14490 | 43.13603 | 0.99470 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 127.19778 / (1 + e^(-0.14513(t - 42.84774))) | 127.19778 | 0.14513 | 42.84774 | 0.99604 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 31.78845 / (1 + e^(-0.17963(t - 45.51711))) | 31.78845 | 0.17963 | 45.51711 | 0.99517 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 27.92600 / (1 + e^(-0.14206(t - 45.82035))) | 27.92600 | 0.14206 | 45.82035 | 0.99295 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10198.80254 / (1 + e^(-0.14682(t - 42.86815))) | 10198.80254 | 0.14682 | 42.86815 | 0.99483 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 63.71408 / (1 + e^(-0.13769(t - 41.97634))) | 63.71408 | 0.13769 | 41.97634 | 0.99606 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.3% | 235 | 103 | 128 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.7% | 688 | 302 | 376 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 687 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.1% | 1,657 | 756 | 873 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1,654 | 14 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 39.0% | 4,023 | 1,721 | 2,240 | 48 | 7 | 7 | 4,009 | 27 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 60.6% | 6,252 | 2,638 | 3,506 | 77 | 16 | 15 | 6,221 | 40 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 73.8% | 7,612 | 3,265 | 4,215 | 92 | 22 | 18 | 7,572 | 48 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 80.6% | 8,304 | 3,537 | 4,616 | 104 | 25 | 22 | 8,257 | 52 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 83.2% | 8,578 | 3,616 | 4,803 | 110 | 27 | 22 | 8,529 | 54 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 88.5% | 9,121 | 3,812 | 5,142 | 114 | 29 | 24 | 9,068 | 57 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 90.5% | 9,326 | 3,892 | 5,263 | 117 | 30 | 24 | 9,272 | 58 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 98.5% | 10,156 | 4,264 | 5,709 | 124 | 31 | 28 | 10,097 | 63 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,309 | 4,318 | 5,803 | 128 | 32 | 28 | 10,249 | 64 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex