SAN JOSE DE LA MONTAÑA (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01230. 10 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 1739.33196 / (1 + e^(-0.23619(t - 37.52446))) | 1739.33196 | 0.23619 | 37.52446 | 0.99804 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 307.03204 / (1 + e^(-0.22700(t - 35.83433))) | 307.03204 | 0.22700 | 35.83433 | 0.99846 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1358.23269 / (1 + e^(-0.24220(t - 37.85932))) | 1358.23269 | 0.24220 | 37.85932 | 0.99798 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 49.00435 / (1 + e^(-0.20840(t - 37.11711))) | 49.00435 | 0.20840 | 37.11711 | 0.99591 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 18.00671 / (1 + e^(-0.21607(t - 41.08796))) | 18.00671 | 0.21607 | 41.08796 | 0.99592 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.01078 / (1 + e^(-0.35603(t - 38.49450))) | 7.01078 | 0.35603 | 38.49450 | 0.99269 |
| Validos | y(t) = 1714.33614 / (1 + e^(-0.23617(t - 37.48606))) | 1714.33614 | 0.23617 | 37.48606 | 0.99805 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 10.00529 / (1 + e^(-0.20670(t - 36.07328))) | 10.00529 | 0.20670 | 36.07328 | 0.99817 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.6% | 45 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.2% | 213 | 54 | 152 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 33.1% | 576 | 132 | 418 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 571 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 53.5% | 930 | 192 | 702 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 920 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 88.6% | 1,541 | 280 | 1,199 | 42 | 13 | 7 | 1,521 | 9 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.6% | 1,541 | 280 | 1,199 | 42 | 13 | 7 | 1,521 | 9 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 1,739 | 307 | 1,358 | 49 | 18 | 7 | 1,714 | 10 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex