SAN FRANCISCO (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01227. 19 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3204.66208 / (1 + e^(-0.19235(t - 32.27227))) | 3204.66208 | 0.19235 | 32.27227 | 0.99849 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 591.61953 / (1 + e^(-0.19295(t - 32.62919))) | 591.61953 | 0.19295 | 32.62919 | 0.99871 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2562.97729 / (1 + e^(-0.19195(t - 32.18197))) | 2562.97729 | 0.19195 | 32.18197 | 0.99832 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 25.02605 / (1 + e^(-0.25465(t - 32.10749))) | 25.02605 | 0.25465 | 32.10749 | 0.99749 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 14.00605 / (1 + e^(-0.26038(t - 35.94739))) | 14.00605 | 0.26038 | 35.94739 | 0.99922 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.00576 / (1 + e^(-0.17042(t - 29.16108))) | 11.00576 | 0.17042 | 29.16108 | 0.98092 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3179.62424 / (1 + e^(-0.19241(t - 32.26372))) | 3179.62424 | 0.19241 | 32.26372 | 0.99849 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 19.01858 / (1 + e^(-0.18890(t - 32.90366))) | 19.01858 | 0.18890 | 32.90366 | 0.99858 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 4.7% | 150 | 43 | 105 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 18.1% | 579 | 94 | 477 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 573 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 39.2% | 1,256 | 219 | 1,020 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1,248 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 54.3% | 1,738 | 314 | 1,398 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1,726 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 78.0% | 2,498 | 448 | 2,010 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 2,480 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 90.6% | 2,900 | 543 | 2,309 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2,877 | 17 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,202 | 591 | 2,561 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 3,177 | 19 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex