SAN CARLOS (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01226. 48 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9311.62414 / (1 + e^(-0.21715(t - 49.49214))) | 9311.62414 | 0.21715 | 49.49214 | 0.99956 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1938.34747 / (1 + e^(-0.21028(t - 49.25240))) | 1938.34747 | 0.21028 | 49.25240 | 0.99942 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7158.05484 / (1 + e^(-0.22013(t - 49.56075))) | 7158.05484 | 0.22013 | 49.56075 | 0.99959 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 146.16225 / (1 + e^(-0.18482(t - 49.00307))) | 146.16225 | 0.18482 | 49.00307 | 0.99841 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 44.03470 / (1 + e^(-0.18191(t - 48.41488))) | 44.03470 | 0.18191 | 48.41488 | 0.99802 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 25.00031 / (1 + e^(-0.26427(t - 52.27424))) | 25.00031 | 0.26427 | 52.27424 | 0.99663 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9242.57932 / (1 + e^(-0.21726(t - 49.48812))) | 9242.57932 | 0.21726 | 49.48812 | 0.99956 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 48.04663 / (1 + e^(-0.19357(t - 48.26853))) | 48.04663 | 0.19357 | 48.26853 | 0.99946 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.6% | 54 | 13 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 0.7% | 69 | 20 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 2 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 10.7% | 992 | 216 | 745 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 984 | 8 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 24.7% | 2,299 | 506 | 1,730 | 48 | 15 | 0 | 2,284 | 15 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 46.5% | 4,329 | 938 | 3,291 | 68 | 23 | 9 | 4,297 | 25 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 72.1% | 6,712 | 1,418 | 5,141 | 105 | 32 | 16 | 6,664 | 36 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 87.6% | 8,148 | 1,655 | 6,317 | 121 | 36 | 19 | 8,093 | 42 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,304 | 1,937 | 7,152 | 146 | 44 | 25 | 9,235 | 48 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex