MONTEBELLO (ANTIOQUIA)
Municipio code 01181. 20 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3793.09383 / (1 + e^(-0.23863(t - 40.73398))) | 3793.09383 | 0.23863 | 40.73398 | 0.99111 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 856.12860 / (1 + e^(-0.20507(t - 40.03958))) | 856.12860 | 0.20507 | 40.03958 | 0.98940 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2787.54390 / (1 + e^(-0.25393(t - 40.99649))) | 2787.54390 | 0.25393 | 40.99649 | 0.99178 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 77.18653 / (1 + e^(-0.19205(t - 38.35188))) | 77.18653 | 0.19205 | 38.35188 | 0.99016 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 44.10385 / (1 + e^(-0.19126(t - 37.85853))) | 44.10385 | 0.19126 | 37.85853 | 0.98811 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 28.03106 / (1 + e^(-0.48704(t - 43.94433))) | 28.03106 | 0.48704 | 43.94433 | 0.99671 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3720.93839 / (1 + e^(-0.23870(t - 40.73759))) | 3720.93839 | 0.23870 | 40.73759 | 0.99111 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.05608 / (1 + e^(-0.17924(t - 38.94635))) | 20.05608 | 0.17924 | 38.94635 | 0.98760 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 29 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 7.6% | 288 | 84 | 193 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 285 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 18.2% | 690 | 183 | 473 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 675 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.3% | 881 | 231 | 608 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 864 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 28.9% | 1,094 | 270 | 774 | 29 | 17 | 4 | 1,073 | 7 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 66.3% | 2,511 | 566 | 1,836 | 60 | 36 | 13 | 2,462 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,785 | 854 | 2,782 | 77 | 44 | 28 | 3,713 | 20 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex