TURQUIA (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88770. 14 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 246.31437 / (1 + e^(-0.34668(t - 37.70662))) | 246.31437 | 0.34668 | 37.70662 | 0.99530 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 153.18984 / (1 + e^(-0.37498(t - 38.01696))) | 153.18984 | 0.37498 | 38.01696 | 0.99643 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 88.11016 / (1 + e^(-0.30665(t - 37.05756))) | 88.11016 | 0.30665 | 37.05756 | 0.99201 |
| Blancos | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Nulos | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 246.31437 / (1 + e^(-0.34668(t - 37.70662))) | 246.31437 | 0.34668 | 37.70662 | 0.99530 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 14.01136 / (1 + e^(-0.38414(t - 36.95709))) | 14.01136 | 0.38414 | 36.95709 | 0.99834 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 30.1% | 74 | 39 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 52.0% | 128 | 79 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 246 | 153 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 14 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex