PERU (CONSULADOS (EXTERIOR))
Municipio code 88670. 28 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3475.35467 / (1 + e^(-0.13262(t - 38.86034))) | 3475.35467 | 0.13262 | 38.86034 | 0.99561 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 850.90045 / (1 + e^(-0.12103(t - 41.12105))) | 850.90045 | 0.12103 | 41.12105 | 0.99656 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2563.68515 / (1 + e^(-0.13806(t - 38.16832))) | 2563.68515 | 0.13806 | 38.16832 | 0.99525 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 53.94681 / (1 + e^(-0.13491(t - 39.03782))) | 53.94681 | 0.13491 | 39.03782 | 0.99371 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 7.03146 / (1 + e^(-0.11333(t - 34.84297))) | 7.03146 | 0.11333 | 34.84297 | 0.96416 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 3468.33201 / (1 + e^(-0.13263(t - 38.86724))) | 3468.33201 | 0.13263 | 38.86724 | 0.99561 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 27.96521 / (1 + e^(-0.15132(t - 42.83422))) | 27.96521 | 0.15132 | 42.83422 | 0.99632 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 7.4% | 258 | 60 | 190 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 7.4% | 258 | 60 | 190 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 256 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 16.9% | 589 | 123 | 455 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 587 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 16.9% | 589 | 123 | 455 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 587 | 2 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 25.8% | 899 | 189 | 695 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 897 | 4 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 57.2% | 1,988 | 421 | 1,535 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1,984 | 10 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 70.8% | 2,463 | 542 | 1,878 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 2,458 | 18 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 78.6% | 2,735 | 597 | 2,086 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 2,728 | 20 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 85.3% | 2,966 | 694 | 2,217 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 2,959 | 22 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 90.5% | 3,149 | 744 | 2,350 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3,142 | 25 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 93.6% | 3,256 | 777 | 2,423 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 3,249 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.4% | 3,388 | 817 | 2,512 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 3,381 | 27 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,478 | 851 | 2,566 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 3,471 | 28 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex